user-generated· event
AOC and Shapiro combined impact on 2026 midterms exceeds 5% swing
The combined effect of AOC's and Shapiro's candidacies in the 2026 midterm elections will shift the national Democratic vote share by at least 5 percentage points compared to pre-campaign polling averages. This reflects their influence on voter mobilization and party strategy.
event · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 45%
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