Will the United States impose new, significant sanctions on Iran's energy sector before January 1, 2027?
Resolves: YES if the U.S. Department of the Treasury or State Department announces new sanctions specifically targeting Iran's oil, gas, or petrochemical exports, or entities directly involved in these sectors, that are described as 'significant' or 'broadening' existing measures. NO otherwise.
Will the United States impose new, significant sanctions on Iran's en…
Market overview
An 'Iran war' scenario would likely escalate international responses, with sanctions being a primary tool to exert pressure. New, significant sanctions could further disrupt global energy supply chains by limiting Iran's oil exports. This question explores a political response with economic ramifications.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2029-07-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the U.S. Department of the Treasury or State Department announces new sanctions specifically targeting Iran's oil, gas, or petrochemical exports, or entities directly involved in these sectors, that are described as 'significant' or 'broadening' existing measures. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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