US asylum seekers deported to Equatorial Guinea face immediate persec…

At least one US asylum seeker deported to Equatorial Guinea in 2026 will be subjected to torture, imprisonment, or extrajudicial violence within 6 months of arrival. Reports will corroborate the incident through credible human rights organizations or media.

human rights · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

More human rights markets

• US asylum seekers deported to Equatorial Guinea face persecution by 2026-09-30 — 90% Yes
• Equatorial Guinea's human rights record worsens by 2027 — 60% Yes

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