X’s DM alert feature leads to measurable decline in retweets of corrected posts within 3 months
Resolves: The 3-month rolling average of retweets for posts receiving Community Notes corrections decreases by at least 15% compared to the 3-month pre-launch baseline.
user-generated· price
X’s DM alert feature leads to measurable decline in retweets of corre…
Market overview
By notifying users when posts they’ve engaged with are corrected, X’s DM feature reduces the likelihood of those posts being retweeted. A 15% drop in retweets of posts receiving corrections within three months of the feature’s launch validates the intervention.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2027-04-08
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The 3-month rolling average of retweets for posts receiving Community Notes corrections decreases by at least 15% compared to the 3-month pre-launch baseline.
Source: user-generated
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