Will the margin of victory for the Trump-endorsed candidate in the South Carolina U.S. Senate runoff be greater than 10 percentage points?
Resolves: YES if the official margin of victory for the candidate endorsed by Donald Trump is greater than 10 percentage points, as confirmed by official election results. NO otherwise.
user-generated· Politics
Will the margin of victory for the Trump-endorsed candidate in the So…
Market overview
While Trump's endorsement is powerful, runoff elections can sometimes be tighter than initial primaries due to voter fatigue or consolidated opposition. This question gauges the strength of that endorsement.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-11-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the official margin of victory for the candidate endorsed by Donald Trump is greater than 10 percentage points, as confirmed by official election results. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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