Keir Starmer resigns as UK Labour leader if Labour loses Senedd

Market overview

UK Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer steps down as prime minister following Labour's defeat in the Senedd election. This would follow a former Welsh government minister's statement that such a loss would warrant his resignation. The move would trigger a leadership contest within Labour.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Source: user-generated

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