Second Democratic candidate surpasses 25% primary support by August 2…

With multiple candidates vying for the nomination, at least one Democratic challenger is projected to secure at least 25% of primary support by early August. This would indicate a competitive race and potential momentum for an alternative candidate.

event · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-08-01

More event markets

• Scottish government orders Higher Maths exam review by November 2027 — 75% Yes
• Chuck Edwards resigns before probe concludes — 70% Yes
• Sudan overtakes Syria as top country for conflict-driven internal displacement — 85% Yes
• Witkoff Rubio-Qatar Deal Collapses Due to Geopolitical Risks — 60% Yes
• Belgium advances past U.S. in World Cup Round of 16 — 70% Yes
• Kevin Kiley's petition fails to secure 218 signatures by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
• Frederica Wilson loses 2026 Florida primary bid — 62% Yes
• Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict — 55% Yes

Browse all event markets →