Mastriano resigns Pennsylvania Senate by August 2026

Market overview

Mastriano’s diplomatic appointment conflicts with his Pennsylvania Senate seat. Senate rules likely require him to vacate his state position upon confirmation, testing state GOP dynamics.

politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

85%

Source: user-generated

More politics markets

• JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
• Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
• Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
• GDP growth in 2033? — 4% Yes
• Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Michigan?: Democratic (Benson) — 99% Yes
• Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Florida?: Republican (Moody) — 99% Yes
• Trump’s influence will decline in Georgia’s 2026 Republican primaries — 55% Yes
• Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Idaho?: Republican (Risch) — 99% Yes

Browse all politics markets →