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S&P 500 drops 1% or more if payrolls exceed 125,000

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S&P 500 drops 1% or more if payrolls exceed 125,000

Market overview

JPMorgan estimates a 10% chance that payroll growth exceeds 125,000, potentially signaling an overheating economy. This scenario would likely trigger a 1% or greater decline in the S&P 500 as inflation concerns rise.

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Implied probability (Yes)
10%

Source: user-generated

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