user-generated· macro
Mortgage rates fall below 6.5% by December 2026
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, currently above 7%, will decline to below 6.5% by December 2026 as the Federal Reserve cuts benchmark rates in response to cooling inflation and a slowing housing market. This drop will be driven by weaker economic data and continued pressure from high home prices.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
Loading…