Susan Collins will retain her Senate seat in Maine 2026 election

Despite Platner's withdrawal and a potential new Democratic nominee, Susan Collins remains the favored incumbent with strong bipartisan support in Maine. Democrats' internal chaos and late replacement efforts are unlikely to overcome Collins' incumbency advantage.

event · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-11-04

More event markets

• Scottish government orders Higher Maths exam review by November 2027 — 75% Yes
• Chuck Edwards resigns before probe concludes — 70% Yes
• Sudan overtakes Syria as top country for conflict-driven internal displacement — 85% Yes
• Witkoff Rubio-Qatar Deal Collapses Due to Geopolitical Risks — 60% Yes
• Belgium advances past U.S. in World Cup Round of 16 — 70% Yes
• Kevin Kiley's petition fails to secure 218 signatures by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
• Frederica Wilson loses 2026 Florida primary bid — 62% Yes
• Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict — 55% Yes

Browse all event markets →