user-generated· leadership
Keir Starmer will resign as UK Prime Minister before December 2027
Over 80 Labour MPs and multiple ministers have called for Starmer's resignation if not immediately then in the near future. The pressure suggests a high likelihood of his departure within the next six months.
leadership · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
More leadership markets
- Starmer survives leadership challenge, cabinet reshuffle by September 2027 — 55% Yes
- Labour MPs to trigger leadership challenge within 30 days — 60% Yes
- Prince Harry meets King Charles III during UK visit — 45% Yes
- Andy Burnham will win a parliamentary seat by 2028 — 60% Yes
- Labour Party removes Starmer as leader by October 2028 — 70% Yes
- Keir Starmer will survive Streeting's challenge by 2028-10-31 — 75% Yes
- Nigel Farage to become UK Prime Minister by 2027 — 35% Yes
- Wes Streeting will announce a leadership bid against Keir Starmer by July 2027 — 70% Yes
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