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Ohio Obamacare enrollment to fall below 200,000 by 2026-12-31

Resolves: Monthly effectuated enrollment data from CMS shows Ohio's total Obamacare enrollment falling below 200,000 by December 31, 2026.

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Ohio Obamacare enrollment to fall below 200,000 by 2026-12-31

Market overview

Ohio lost nearly a third of its Obamacare enrollment since 2025. With no subsidy renewal in sight, enrollment will decline further as premium non-payment persists. Current enrollment stands near 250,000, and the trend suggests a drop below 200,000 by year-end.

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Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Monthly effectuated enrollment data from CMS shows Ohio's total Obamacare enrollment falling below 200,000 by December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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