US Midwest records above-average temperatures post-heatwave

Market overview

The heatwave is forecast to shift eastward toward the Midwest later this week, bringing temperatures 5-10°F above seasonal norms. Historical climate data and forecast ensembles indicate this trend will materialize.

weather prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

80%

More weather markets

• UK heatwave exceeds 30C for 5+ consecutive days in southern England — 85% Yes
• Phoenix, Arizona exceeds 45°C during the heatwave — 75% Yes
• US Southwest heatwave breaks 2027 Dallas record by 2°C — 75% Yes
• Mexico’s Baja California records first 50°C day of 2026 — 60% Yes
• UK records 10+ consecutive days above 30°C by 2026-07-18 — 75% Yes
• Peak temperatures exceed 34°C in London by 2026-07-14 — 70% Yes
• South Africa’s Western Cape floods exceed 2027 displacement toll — 80% Yes

Browse all weather markets →