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user-generated· Economics

Will the United States and Taiwan sign a new bilateral free trade agr…

Market overview

Lai's call for democracies to unite could translate into stronger economic ties. A formal free trade agreement would be a significant step in this direction, though negotiations are complex and often protracted.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
35%
Closes
2028-12-31

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if a new bilateral free trade agreement between the United States and Taiwan is officially signed and announced by either government by December 31, 2028. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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