user-generated· macro
Georgia election subpoena ruling increases 2026 midterm turnout uncer…
The ruling's ambiguity around federal vs. state election authority could reduce voter confidence in Georgia's election integrity, potentially decreasing turnout in the 2026 midterms by at least 2% compared to prior midterms. Early voting data by November 2026 will reflect this impact.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
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