Vance drops out of 2028 GOP primary before Iowa caucuses

JD Vance will withdraw from the 2028 Republican presidential primary before the Iowa caucuses in January 2028 due to lack of establishment support and Griffin's endorsement of Rubio. Vance's anti-establishment stance and Griffin's opposition to him during Trump's VP search will weaken his campaign.

politics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

63%

Closes

2028-01-15

More politics markets

• JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
• Border Security breaks new record this year? — 49% Yes
• Will Supreme Court Justices dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 56% Yes
• Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
• Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
• Energy Independence major announcement before July 2026? — 55% Yes
• Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 1% Yes
• Will Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? — 0% Yes

Browse all politics markets →