user-generated· macro
U.S. oil exports to Asia rise 15% by end of 2026 due to Middle East t…
Geopolitical risks in the Middle East will push Asian buyers to diversify oil sources away from the region, benefiting U.S. shale producers. This trend will be accelerated if Vance's talks fail to reduce tensions.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
Loading…