Iran exports below 1M bpd by end of 2026
Resolves: Iran's crude oil exports average below 1,000,000 barrels per day for November and December 2026, as reported by OPEC or secondary tracking sources.
user-generated· price
Iran exports below 1M bpd by end of 2026
Market overview
Iran's crude oil exports will fall below 1 million barrels per day by December 31, 2026, despite sanctions relief, due to weaker Chinese demand and increased OPEC+ supply. Analysts forecast continued decline in Iranian crude purchases by top importer China.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Iran's crude oil exports average below 1,000,000 barrels per day for November and December 2026, as reported by OPEC or secondary tracking sources.
Source: user-generated
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