user-generated· event
U.S. conducts airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites by July 2026
Trump’s national security team is leaning toward limited military strikes to pressure Iran into concessions on its nuclear program. Escalation is likely given Trump’s public threats and Iran’s rejection of the U.S. proposal.
event · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
More event markets
- Scottish government orders Higher Maths exam review by November 2027 — 75% Yes
- Chuck Edwards resigns before probe concludes — 70% Yes
- Sudan overtakes Syria as top country for conflict-driven internal displacement — 85% Yes
- Witkoff Rubio-Qatar Deal Collapses Due to Geopolitical Risks — 60% Yes
- Belgium advances past U.S. in World Cup Round of 16 — 70% Yes
- Kevin Kiley's petition fails to secure 218 signatures by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
- Frederica Wilson loses 2026 Florida primary bid — 62% Yes
- Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict — 55% Yes
Loading…