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Will the CFTC release a final rule framework for the regulation of prediction markets by December 31, 2028?

Resolves: YES if the CFTC publishes a final rule framework for prediction market regulation in the Federal Register by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.

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user-generated· Legal

Will the CFTC release a final rule framework for the regulation of pr…

Market overview

The White House is reviewing the CFTC's plan, indicating progress. However, regulatory processes can be slow and subject to delays, especially for novel areas like prediction markets.

Legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
40%
Closes
2030-08-25

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the CFTC publishes a final rule framework for prediction market regulation in the Federal Register by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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