OpenAI IPO completion probability increases by Dec 2026
Resolves: OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, as evidenced by SEC filings or public announcements.
user-generated· event
OpenAI IPO completion probability increases by Dec 2026
Market overview
OpenAI's leadership shuffle with Simo's exit accelerates IPO preparations under Altman's direction. The company's recent GPT-5.6 and ChatGPT Work releases signal competitive positioning ahead of a potential public offering.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, as evidenced by SEC filings or public announcements.
Source: user-generated
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