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Special election for Kentucky Senate seat occurs by 2027-06-30

Resolves: A special election is held in Kentucky to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy resulting from Mitch McConnell's resignation, death, or expulsion, with ballots cast by 2027-06-30.

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user-generated· politics

Special election for Kentucky Senate seat occurs by 2027-06-30

Market overview

If McConnell resigns, dies, or is expelled before his term ends, Kentucky's new law mandates a special election. Given the legal uncertainty, the election is likely to proceed pending court rulings, with a high probability of occurring within 6 months of a vacancy.

politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-06-30

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

A special election is held in Kentucky to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy resulting from Mitch McConnell's resignation, death, or expulsion, with ballots cast by 2027-06-30.

Source: user-generated

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