Will US inflation (CPI) fall below 2.5% year-over-year by Q3 2026?

Market overview

This market investigates whether US year-over-year inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), will drop below 2.5% by the third quarter of 2026. This is a key indicator of economic stability and Federal Reserve policy.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

58%

Closes

2026-09-30

More Economics markets

• OPEC partnership or acquisition announced? — 32% Yes
• Will Logistics Automation stock price increase by November 2026? — 59% Yes
• Grammy Awards partnership or acquisition announced? — 58% Yes
• Will IPO Market stock price increase by September 2026? — 46% Yes
• Will Interest Rates stock price increase by April 2027? — 41% Yes
• Chainsaw Man partnership or acquisition announced? — 74% Yes
• Fusion Energy partnership or acquisition announced? — 55% Yes
• Will Doja Cat stock price increase by November 2026? — 66% Yes

Browse all Economics markets →