Schumer loses Senate Minority Leader vote
Resolves: Schumer is not re-elected as Senate Minority Leader in the post-election caucus vote held after the 2026 midterms.
user-generated· leadership
Schumer loses Senate Minority Leader vote
Market overview
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer faces a leadership challenge due to his handling of the Platner controversy. A rival faction within the Democratic caucus successfully unseats him.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 45%
- Closes
- 2026-11-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Schumer is not re-elected as Senate Minority Leader in the post-election caucus vote held after the 2026 midterms.
Source: user-generated
More leadership markets
- Vance condemns Carlson's antisemitic remarks by 2026-12-31 — 35% Yes
- Greene exits Republican Party by year-end — 35% Yes
- Prince William to step up public appearances within 6 months — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Chief Hardware Officer resigns by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
- Platner resigns as Nike’s global sports marketing president by November 2026 — 60% Yes
- Republican Party shifts away from Trump by 2027 — 55% Yes
- Balogun signs a new contract with Belgium’s national team by 2027 — 70% Yes
- OpenAI hardware chief Tang Tan resigns within 6 months amid Apple lawsuit — 85% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…