Desert rain frog extinction confirmed by 2028
Resolves: IUCN publishes an updated Red List entry classifying the desert rain frog as 'Extinct in the Wild' or 'Extinct'.
user-generated· legal
Desert rain frog extinction confirmed by 2028
Market overview
The desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) will be officially declared extinct by the IUCN by December 31, 2028, due to continued diamond mining expansion in its habitat. The species' decline accelerated after 2026 as mining activities intensified.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
IUCN publishes an updated Red List entry classifying the desert rain frog as 'Extinct in the Wild' or 'Extinct'.
Source: user-generated
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