Will the European Court of Human Rights issue an injunction preventing a UK-Rwanda deportation flight by December 31, 2028?
Resolves: YES if the European Court of Human Rights issues an interim measure or injunction specifically preventing a deportation flight from the UK to Rwanda under the asylum policy by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Will the European Court of Human Rights issue an injunction preventin…
Market overview
Despite the UK court's ruling, the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) has previously intervened in similar cases. Activists and legal groups are likely to appeal to the ECtHR, which could issue an injunction.
Legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2030-08-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the European Court of Human Rights issues an interim measure or injunction specifically preventing a deportation flight from the UK to Rwanda under the asylum policy by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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