China’s 5-year sovereign bond yield rises 50bps by 2026-12

Restrictions on LGFV short-term borrowing will increase reliance on central government debt, pushing yields higher as liquidity tightens. The PBOC may refrain from aggressive easing to avoid undermining the policy goal.

price · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-12-31

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