user-generated· World
Will Iran's crude oil production (excluding condensates) average belo…
Market overview
Increased US pressure, as indicated by Trump's statement, could lead to disruptions or reductions in Iran's oil production capacity. However, Iran has historically found ways to circumvent sanctions and maintain production levels.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 45%
- Closes
- 2030-07-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the average crude oil production of Iran (excluding condensates) as reported by OPEC's Monthly Oil Market Report for Q4 2024 (October, November, December) is below 3 million barrels per day. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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