Spain's migrant minor relocation policy expands further
Resolves: Official government data or verified reports confirm relocation of over 1,000 migrant minors from Ceuta to mainland Spain by 2026-12-31.
user-generated· event
Spain's migrant minor relocation policy expands further
Market overview
Spain approves relocation of over 1,000 migrant minors from Ceuta to mainland by end of 2026.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official government data or verified reports confirm relocation of over 1,000 migrant minors from Ceuta to mainland Spain by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- UK drought conditions to persist until December 2026 — 75% Yes
- Trump faces fourth assassination attempt by March 2027 — 55% Yes
- GOP primary challenger announces on immigration — 25% Yes
- SpaceX IPO will exclude xAI assets by December 2026 — 85% Yes
- Apple Maps switches to Lake America in Canada — 60% Yes
- MGM Resorts to finalize merger with IAC by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
- African leaders' attendance at World Cup events boosts intra-Africa tourism by 10% — 60% Yes
- European flight delays to increase by 20% in 2027 — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…