Keir Starmer resigns as Labour leader by June 30, 2028
user-generated· leadership
Keir Starmer resigns as Labour leader by June 30, 2028
Market overview
Starmer’s leadership is under severe strain following Labour’s historic losses in local, Welsh, and Scottish elections. Wes Streeting’s resignation and calls for Starmer to step down increase the likelihood of a leadership contest before the next general election.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
Source: user-generated
More leadership markets
- Will CFO resign before 2026-12-31? — 40% Yes
- Rep. Edwards resigns from Congress before 2026 midterms — 55% Yes
- Chuck Edwards to resign before Ethics Committee ruling — 70% Yes
- Witkoff Rubio partnership gains influence in Middle East policy by 2027 — 55% Yes
- Edwards resigns from Congress by end of 2028 — 60% Yes
- Trump administration to nominate a more industry-aligned FDA chief by Labor Day — 68% Yes
- NRCC chair calls for town halls ban by 2027 — 60% Yes
- Will CEO Mark Zediker resign before FYE? — 60% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…