Deep-sea vent molluscs face 70% extinction risk by 2030
Resolves: IUCN Red List confirms at least 70% population decline in two-thirds of deep-sea vent mollusc species due to deep-sea mining activities by December 31, 2030.
user-generated· legal
Deep-sea vent molluscs face 70% extinction risk by 2030
Market overview
The IUCN Red List assessment indicates 66% of deep-sea vent molluscs are at risk due to deep-sea mining. Given the rapid expansion of seabed mining licenses, these species could lose 70% of their populations by 2030.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 78%
- Closes
- 2030-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
IUCN Red List confirms at least 70% population decline in two-thirds of deep-sea vent mollusc species due to deep-sea mining activities by December 31, 2030.
Source: user-generated
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