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Thrive Capital AI portfolio underperforms top-tier Silicon Valley VCs by 2027

Resolves: Thrive Capital's AI portfolio IRR is at least 15 percentage points below the top-decile Silicon Valley AI VC portfolio IRR as of 2027-12-31.

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user-generated· earnings

Thrive Capital AI portfolio underperforms top-tier Silicon Valley VCs…

Market overview

Thrive Capital's AI-focused investments will trail top Silicon Valley VC firms' AI portfolios in IRR by end of 2027.

earnings prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Thrive Capital's AI portfolio IRR is at least 15 percentage points below the top-decile Silicon Valley AI VC portfolio IRR as of 2027-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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