Stoke Space successfully launches Nova rocket by end of 2026
Resolves: Stoke Space successfully completes at least one orbital launch of the Nova rocket with reusable components recovered intact by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· event
Stoke Space successfully launches Nova rocket by end of 2026
Market overview
Stoke Space’s Nova rocket, designed for full reusability, is expected to make its first orbital test flight by December 2026. Kevin Weil’s board appointment and Stoke’s $1.34B funding suggest aggressive timelines and strong investor confidence.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Stoke Space successfully completes at least one orbital launch of the Nova rocket with reusable components recovered intact by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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