Kentucky special election triggered within 6 months if McConnell vacates seat
Resolves: A special election in Kentucky is officially scheduled to fill the Senate seat vacated by Mitch McConnell between July 8, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
user-generated· event
Kentucky special election triggered within 6 months if McConnell vaca…
Market overview
If Senator Mitch McConnell resigns, dies, or is expelled before his term ends, Kentucky's 2024 law mandating a special election rather than gubernatorial appointment will be invoked for the first time. The state's legal framework lacks precedent, making the process highly uncertain but procedurally mandated.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A special election in Kentucky is officially scheduled to fill the Senate seat vacated by Mitch McConnell between July 8, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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