user-generated· adoption
Total unicorns in 2026 exceed 2025 count by 15%
Market overview
Given the current pace of nearly 90 unicorns by July 5, 2026, and sustained AI investor interest, the total number of unicorns minted in 2026 will exceed 2025's total by at least 15%. This assumes continued strong venture capital appetite for AI and related sectors.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Total number of unicorns minted in 2026 exceeds 2025's total by 15% or more (2025 total: ~250 unicorns).
Source: user-generated
More adoption markets
- Daily active crypto users surpass 100 million by mid-2026 — 60% Yes
- Kalshi’s market share in crypto derivatives surpasses 5% by Q4 2027 — 55% Yes
- Kalshi's crypto perpetual futures launch by 2026-Q4 — 75% Yes
- Family offices double down on crypto-adjacent mining firms within 6 months — 72% Yes
- Nigeria's crypto transaction volume exceeds $5B in 2026 — 80% Yes
- AI and crypto groups increase political ad spending in 2026 midterms — 80% Yes
- Crypto and AI groups double political ad spending by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Harborne will increase donations to Farage by 20% by Mar 2027 — 60% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…