Skip to main content

DeepSeek's token volume share exceeds 45% by December 2026

Resolves: DeepSeek's token volume share on major AI platforms (e.g., Vercel, OpenRouter) exceeds 45% as measured by publicly available dashboard data or third-party analytics reports.

Make a pick
user-generated· adoption

DeepSeek's token volume share exceeds 45% by December 2026

Market overview

The article notes DeepSeek surged to over 33% token volume share on Vercel in early July 2026. Given the accelerating adoption of open source models in production phases, DeepSeek is poised to capture even greater market share as more mature use cases migrate to lighter models.

adoption prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

DeepSeek's token volume share on major AI platforms (e.g., Vercel, OpenRouter) exceeds 45% as measured by publicly available dashboard data or third-party analytics reports.

Source: user-generated

More adoption markets

Browse all adoption markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…