Egypt and Turkey impose formal LGBTQ+ cruise bans
Resolves: Either Egypt or Turkey (or both) publicly announce a formal, written policy or law explicitly banning LGBTQ+ themed cruises or events by 2026-12-31.
user-generated· regulatory
Egypt and Turkey impose formal LGBTQ+ cruise bans
Market overview
Following the Scarlet Lady incidents, Egypt and Turkey are likely to issue formal statements or legislation banning LGBTQ+ themed cruises. This would escalate restrictions beyond ad-hoc refusals and signal a regional crackdown.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Either Egypt or Turkey (or both) publicly announce a formal, written policy or law explicitly banning LGBTQ+ themed cruises or events by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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