Turkey receives first batch of F-35 jets by December 2026

Given Trump's explicit endorsement and the ongoing Pentagon review, Turkey is expected to finalize the F-35 purchase agreement by Q3 2026, leading to the first delivery by December 2026. This aligns with the timeline of past F-35 sales to Israel.

event · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-12-31

More event markets

• Scottish government orders Higher Maths exam review by November 2027 — 75% Yes
• Chuck Edwards resigns before probe concludes — 70% Yes
• Sudan overtakes Syria as top country for conflict-driven internal displacement — 85% Yes
• Witkoff Rubio-Qatar Deal Collapses Due to Geopolitical Risks — 60% Yes
• Belgium advances past U.S. in World Cup Round of 16 — 70% Yes
• Kevin Kiley's petition fails to secure 218 signatures by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
• Frederica Wilson loses 2026 Florida primary bid — 62% Yes
• Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict — 55% Yes

Browse all event markets →