user-generated· macro
S&P 500 falls below 4,800 by end of 2026 amid bond market stress
Persistent high Treasury yields will increase borrowing costs for corporations and reduce equity valuations, pushing the S&P 500 below 4,800 by December 2026. This aligns with historical correlations between rising yields and equity market declines.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
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