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user-generated· macro

S&P 500 falls below 4,800 by end of 2026 amid bond market stress

Persistent high Treasury yields will increase borrowing costs for corporations and reduce equity valuations, pushing the S&P 500 below 4,800 by December 2026. This aligns with historical correlations between rising yields and equity market declines.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%

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