US imposes new sanctions on Iran by August 2026

Market overview

Escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz prompt the US to impose additional sanctions targeting Iran’s oil exports, shipping sector, or financial institutions. The sanctions are designed to pressure Iran to de-escalate but risk further retaliatory actions.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Source: user-generated

More regulatory markets

• FIFA reinstates Balogun suspension within 30 days — 70% Yes
• UK issues travel advisory warning for southern Spain by 2026-07-25 — 80% Yes
• FIFA faces formal ethics complaint from UEFA by July 2026 — 75% Yes
• DCCC dues payment compliance increases by 2026 midterms — 75% Yes
• Forge Global secures Anthropic approval within 6 months — 75% Yes
• UK government increases teacher pay offer by 2%+ in 2027 — 45% Yes
• FIFA issues formal disciplinary action against Trump by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
• FIFA issues formal reprimand against U.S. Soccer for Trump interference — 75% Yes

Browse all regulatory markets →