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Labour MPs will fail to trigger leadership challenge before 2028

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user-generated· politics

Labour MPs will fail to trigger leadership challenge before 2028

Market overview

Labour's rules require 81 MPs to back a single challenger to force a leadership vote. With no unified opposition candidate and 100 MPs opposing a contest, the threshold will not be met before the 2024 general election.

politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
85%
Closes
2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

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