Democrats fail to flip Maine Senate seat in 2026 midterms
Resolves: Official election results from the 2026 US Senate midterms in Maine show Susan Collins re-elected and Democrats do not gain control of the Senate.
user-generated· politics
Democrats fail to flip Maine Senate seat in 2026 midterms
Market overview
With Platner out and infighting among Democrats delaying a strong replacement, the party is unlikely to overcome Susan Collins’ incumbency advantage. This outcome preserves the GOP’s Senate majority.
politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official election results from the 2026 US Senate midterms in Maine show Susan Collins re-elected and Democrats do not gain control of the Senate.
Source: user-generated
More politics markets
- JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
- Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
- Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? — 66% Yes
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000? — 24% Yes
- Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — 98% Yes
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? — 4% Yes
- Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? — 24% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…