Strait of Hormuz fully open by end of 2026
Resolves: No Iranian attacks or mine threats on commercial ships in Strait of Hormuz for 30 consecutive days before Dec 31, 2026.
user-generated· event
Strait of Hormuz fully open by end of 2026
Market overview
No Iranian attacks or mine threats to commercial shipping through Hormuz for 30 consecutive days by Dec 31, 2026.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
No Iranian attacks or mine threats on commercial ships in Strait of Hormuz for 30 consecutive days before Dec 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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