DeepSeek surpasses OpenAI in U.S. AI model usage by Q4 2026
Resolves: DeepSeek's share of U.S. AI model token usage exceeds OpenAI's as measured by OpenRouter or equivalent platform data
user-generated· adoption
DeepSeek surpasses OpenAI in U.S. AI model usage by Q4 2026
Market overview
U.S. companies' adoption of Chinese AI models continues to accelerate, with DeepSeek's market share rising above 35% by December 2026. This is driven by cost advantages and comparable performance to OpenAI's latest models.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 62%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
DeepSeek's share of U.S. AI model token usage exceeds OpenAI's as measured by OpenRouter or equivalent platform data
Source: user-generated
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