DeepSeek overtakes US AI model in China market share by Q4 2028

Market overview

Chinese AI models like DeepSeek, backed by state incentives and lower regulatory scrutiny, will capture over 55% of China’s enterprise AI adoption by year-end. U.S. models face export restrictions and distrust after NSA espionage allegations.

adoption prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

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