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Indonesian rupiah depreciates 5% within 90 days of downgrade

Resolves: The Indonesian rupiah trades at least 5% weaker against the US dollar compared to its exchange rate on the day of any S&P Dow Jones downgrade announcement, within 90 days of that announcement.

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Indonesian rupiah depreciates 5% within 90 days of downgrade

Market overview

If Indonesia is downgraded from the frontier market index, the Indonesian rupiah will weaken by at least 5% against the US dollar within 90 days. Capital outflows and reduced investor confidence will drive the depreciation.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2027-06-30

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The Indonesian rupiah trades at least 5% weaker against the US dollar compared to its exchange rate on the day of any S&P Dow Jones downgrade announcement, within 90 days of that announcement.

Source: user-generated

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