user-generated· regulatory
Iraq secures 10% higher OPEC+ quota by 2026-12-31
Market overview
Iraq will successfully negotiate a 10% increase in its OPEC+ production quota between August and December 2026, reflecting its persistent lobbying and post-war recovery needs. The UAE’s exit reduces internal opposition, making quota adjustments more feasible.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
OPEC+ official quota for Iraq is at least 10% higher than its August 2026 quota as published in OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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