user-generated· adoption
U.S. streaming platforms lose EU market share in sports by 2028
Market overview
By the end of 2028, U.S.-based streaming platforms (e.g., ESPN+, Peacock, Paramount+) will see their combined EU sports streaming market share drop below 30%, down from 45% in 2026, due to Macron-inspired EU regulations favoring domestic providers.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 58%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Combined market share of U.S. streaming platforms in EU sports broadcasting rights (measured by revenue or subscriber count) falls below 30% as reported by Ampere Analysis or similar industry tracker.
Source: user-generated
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- PGA Tour Shop app downloads increase 25% YoY in 2026 — 68% Yes
- Prince Harry's Invictus Games funding drops 15% by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Bluesky's AT Protocol gains adoption by 3 major third-party apps by Q1 2027 — 55% Yes
- Wise secures 10+ new U.S. banking partnerships within 12 months of dual listing — 75% Yes
- iOS 27 public release sees 20% adoption within first 6 weeks — 60% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…