Will the US announce a new defense aid package for Taiwan exceeding $500 million by December 31, 2028?
Resolves: A public announcement from the US government or Department of Defense confirming a new defense aid package for Taiwan with a value exceeding $500 million (USD) by the specified date.
user-generated· Politics
Will the US announce a new defense aid package for Taiwan exceeding $…
Market overview
Cheng Li-wun's visit to the US, focusing on peace and defense budget, suggests discussions around military support. Given ongoing geopolitical tensions, a significant aid package is plausible.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2030-07-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
A public announcement from the US government or Department of Defense confirming a new defense aid package for Taiwan with a value exceeding $500 million (USD) by the specified date.
Source: user-generated
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